Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume: $228.70k
Liquidity: $101.95k
Markets: 11
Ends: Oct 19, 2025(in 4 days)
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Markets
11 active markets
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?
Yes17¢
No84¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$20.42k
Liquidity$6.98k
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?
Yes16¢
No85¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$17.15k
Liquidity$9.24k
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
Yes15¢
No85¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$16.44k
Liquidity$5.43k
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?
Yes15¢
No85¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$15.84k
Liquidity$8.68k
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 10–15%?
Yes10¢
No90¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$21.91k
Liquidity$5.34k
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 15–20%?
Yes8¢
No92¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$22.58k
Liquidity$14.00k
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?
Yes8¢
No92¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$15.16k
Liquidity$10.86k
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 20% or more?
Yes7¢
No93¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$43.71k
Liquidity$12.52k
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 15–20%?
Yes7¢
No94¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$16.22k
Liquidity$8.16k
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?
Yes4¢
No96¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$29.31k
Liquidity$11.65k
Will another candidate win Bolivian Election?
Yes0¢
No100¢
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume$9.96k
Liquidity$6.64k