How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volume: $2.02m
Liquidity: $63.54k
Markets: 6
Ends: Dec 31, 2025(in 3 months)
AI Analysis
Markets
6 active markets
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes96¢
No4¢
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volume$206.51k
Liquidity$14.94k
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes1¢
No99¢
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volume$642.15k
Liquidity$10.17k
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes0¢
No100¢
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volume$310.69k
Liquidity$8.66k
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes0¢
No100¢
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volume$218.98k
Liquidity$9.94k
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes0¢
No100¢
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volume$391.52k
Liquidity$10.10k
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes0¢
No100¢
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Volume$247.56k
Liquidity$7.67k